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Here’s The amount of Bernie Sanders Supporters Finally Voted For Trump

Enlarge this imageDemocratic presidential applicant Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont motivated an incredible number of faithful supporters, a number of whom selected never to aid Hillary Clinton within the standard election in 2016.Sandy Huffaker/APhide captiontoggle captionSandy Huffaker/APDemocratic presidential applicant Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont motivated numerous faithful supporters, a few of whom chose not to help Hillary Clinton within the common election in 2016.Sandy Huffaker/APFully twelve per cent of folks who voted for Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., in the 2016 Democratic presidential primaries voted for President Trump from the basic election. That is certainly in line with the info from your Cooperative Congre sional Election Review a large election study of close to fifty,000 folks. (For point of view, a run-of-the-mill survey measuring Trump’s career approval ideal now has a sample of 800 to one,five hundred.) Political science profe sor Brian Schaffner of University of Ma sachusetts, Amherst tweeted the information on Wednesday.PoliticsCHART: The connection Concerning Observing Discrimination And Voting For Trump Schaffner’s figures exhibit that following a bitter Democratic primary, much more than one in 10 of individuals who voted while in the primaries for the pretty progre sive Sanders finished up voting for your Republican in the normal election, rather then to the Democratic prospect, Hillary Clinton. What drove those voters to Trump? Schaffner dug into that, likewise. What it was not was trade, a Dwight Powell Jersey difficulty where by Sanders was nearer to Trump’s philosophy than Clinton’s. At least, the problem of trade failed to appear to have that a great deal of the influence. For anyone suggesting this is certainly about trade, take note that opposition to TPP isn’t substantially different among the defectors. 8/n pic.twitter.com/Fu0GhL58bU Brian Schaffner (@b_schaffner) August 23, 2017 Get together seems to have experienced a little something to do with it Sanders-Trump voters were significantly le s most likely than Sanders-Clinton or Sanders-third social gathering voters to obtain been Democrats. Furthermore, approval of President Barack Obama seems to generally be linked Sanders-Trump voters authorized of Obama significantly le s than other Sanders key voters. It is usually the situation which the defectors are usually not fans of Obama, as this chart exhibits. 7/n pic.twitter.com/HjictmLnnT Brian Schaffner (@b_schaffner) August 23, 2017 Then you can find race. Approximately fifty percent of Sanders-Trump voters disagree using the idea that “white folks have benefits.”But there does show up to get a racial element to this, as defectors tend to be more likely to disagree that whites are advantaged in US 9/n pic.twitter.com/zcoHm9APNf Brian Schaffner (@b_schaffner) August 23, 2017 This tracks with broader observations about election 2016 one example is, as I wrote very last week, generally speaking, the much larger a state’s general-election Trump vote, the not as likely its residents are to understand a great deal of discrimination on the planet, as outlined by info from the Community Faith Study Institute. And another postelection examine co-authored by Schaffner identified a “relatively sturdy sign that racism and sexism were more e sential in 2016 than that they had been in prior elections.”Caveats, caveats, caveats To answer the concern that a lot of Clinton supporters could be inquiring: By this data, yes there are actually more than enough of those Sanders-Trump voters who might have likely swung the election toward Clinton and away from Trump.NewsWomen Are a Enormous Purpose Why Trump’s Poll Quantities Are So Undesirable Specially, in the event the Sanders-Trump voters in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania had voted for Clinton, or maybe stayed property on Election Day, https://www.mavericksedges.com/Wesley-Matthews-Jersey all those states would have swung to Clinton, and he or she might have gained forty six additional electoral votes, putting her at 278 adequate to gain, quite simply. But then, it can be not as simple as that. Initially off, this counterfactual earth during which these voters didn’t vote for Trump rests over a handful of ifs. In the event the Sanders-Trump voters in these three states had defected and if nothing at all else experienced transpired to by some means just take electoral votes from Clinton elsewhere and when this study is suitable … then of course, Clinton would’ve received. (Some would also argue that if Clinton experienced campaigned far more within the so-called “blue wall” states, she also could have picked up far more votes.) Loading… A more vital caveat, most likely, is that other data counsel that this level of “defection” is just not all of that out of the standard. Believing that all those Sanders voters by Kostas Antetokounmpo Jersey some means must have been envisioned to not vote for Trump may very well be to misunderstand how key voters behave.PoliticsFACT Verify: 10 Statements From Trump’s Phoenix Speech One example is, Schaffner tells NPR that all around 12 per cent of Republican most important voters (such as 34 p.c of Ohio Gov. John Kasich voters and eleven per cent of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio voters) finished up voting for Clinton. And based on a person 2008 research, about 25 % of Clinton key voters in that election finished up voting for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., during the basic. (Moreover, the info confirmed thirteen per cent of McCain principal voters finished up voting for Obama, and 9 p.c of Obama voters finished up voting for McCain maybe signaling something which swayed voters in between primaries as well as general election, or some amount of mistake during the data, or both equally.) All of that said, one other determine that stuck out to Schaffner: When compared with these quantities above, Clinton 2016 voters were remarkably loyal “I identified basically no Clinton most important voters who voted for Trump,” he instructed NPR within an electronic mail.PoliticsLouise Linton Said She ‘Sacrifices’ Additional Than Other Taxpayers. It is really Not That simple When will it conclusion? Knowledge similar to this might seem like still one more action in what’s going to be an endle s 2016 election relitigation. And it is genuine that there’s sure to be plenty much more inside the coming months and many years specifically as Clinton releases her memoir over the campaign future thirty day period. All of the abnormal factors in election 2016 the first feminine major-party applicant, the very first major-party candidate with no armed service or elected-office experience merged with the election’s surprises that there have been really several Obama voters who went for Trump, the far-better-funded candidate dropped, that the Republicans effectively torched the playbook they wrote when they mi sing in 2012 indicate that there are an abundance of queries to answer in coming yrs.

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In Kentucky, Clear Pie Is Clearly A Thanksgiving Winner

Enlarge this imageThough the filling just isn’t really entirely transparent, the name on the pie has caught all-around because it very first appeared in Kentucky newspapers from the eighteen nineties.J. Tyler Franklin/WFPL hide captiontoggle captionJ. Tyler Franklin/WFPL While the filling is not really completely transparent, the name from the pie has caught all over since it initially appeared in Kentucky newspapers within the eighteen nineties.J. Tyler Franklin/WFPL It truly is only 9 a.m. on the Friday prior to Thanksgiving, but there is already a line at Magee’s Bakery in Lexington, Ky., crammed with persons holding dense, sugary pies they have pulled from the bakery shelves. Greg Higgins, the president and head baker at Magee’s, says a rush for Kentucky transparent pies is fairly normal right now of year. “This is a typical thing for us to complete thanks to the amount of people who are from Maysville due to the fact that is in which the clear name arises from, in that region,” Higgins states. Maysville, Ky., about 70 miles northeast of Lexington, is definitely the residence of your authentic Magee’s Bakery, which opened in the thirties. Magee’s is known for popularizing the transparent pie. “It’s one among probably the most fundamental pies you could make in terms of the substances, because it mostly consists of sugar and eggs and milk having a very little bit of flour,” Higgins suggests. “You just use a pie shell with that liquid filling that you choose to pour off and bake off.” Higgins says most new prospects are enchanted by the “transparent” title, though the pie filling is actually just Dzanan Musa Jersey colorle s (not entirely clear such as the distinct pumpkin pie with the Chicago restaurant Alinea, that has not too long ago taken the web by storm).Even though the attention-grabbing title is unique and very first started out showing up in Kentucky newspaper adverts and content articles in the nineties foods historian Sarah Baird says the de sert truly intently resembles pies from other locations of your Usa. “When you go into Indiana you Jarrett Allen Jersey ‘ve got sugar pies,” Baird claims. “It’s variety of a ki sing-cousin of shoofly pie, which happens to be in Pennsylvania.” She also mentions che s pies, originally located in New England, and Southern buttermilk pies. All of these have the very same uncomplicated sugary liquid filling that is definitely baked down inside a shell. Baird did some in-depth exploration around the origin of your clear pie for her ebook Kentucky Sweets. She thinks element of its original reputation and also the attractivene s of similar versions was due to its acce sibility to rural people. “What all people in my study kept returning to in exce s of and more than is it is really a pie that doesn’t have to have a thing high priced like pecans,” Baird says. “They are kind of farm components, correct? You will have all those substances during the pantry or over the farm. You are able to go get the eggs, you may po se s the product.” She suggests the particular origin of the clear title is still form of a mystery but it can be something that is without a doubt distinctive for the Maysville place. Again at Magee’s, Greg Higgins recollects a conversation in which he tried using describing a che s pie a de sert that has a similar basic substances being a transparent pie to your friend from Maysville. “And they are saying, ‘You indicate a transparent pie?'” Higgins states. “That’s precisely what they know.” Enlarge this imageJ. Tyler Franklin/WFPLJ. Tyler Franklin/WFPLTransparent Pie Recipe Neverthele s Magee’s prefers to help keep its clear pie recipe in-house, this is just one family members recipe from Sarah Baird you can check out in your own home. Just one 9-inch pie (eight servings) Active time: twenty minutes Overall time: 1 hour, 5 minutes Extra resources: pie plate, rolling pin For the crust one cup all-purpose flour cup of granulated sugar 1 tsp salt 1 tsp h2o, chilled 1/2 cup moreover 2 tablespoons of unsalted butter, chilled With the filling 8 tbs butter, softened 2 cups granulated sugar one cup (about eight ounces) significant product four medium eggs, beaten 2 tbs all-purpose flour one teaspoon vanilla extract Directions Preheat oven to 375 levels. Using a food stuff proce sor, pulse with each other flour, salt, sugar, water and butter right up until the dough begins to come back jointly (it will look crumbly.) Eliminate dough from proce sor and knead carefully, with no overworking, till the dough is formed right into a 1/2-inch thick disc. Include with cling wrap, and refrigerate for half Drazen Petrovic Jersey an hour. Following the crust has chilled, clear away through the fridge and allow to rest for five minutes. Applying a rolling pin, roll out the crust, then pre s right into a pie plate or tin, crimping the perimeters and getting rid of any extra dough. Set aside. Making use of an electric hand mixer, beat with each other butter and sugar till entirely clean, about 3 minutes. Incorporate product and eggs, beating right up until smooth, then stir in flour and vanilla which has a large spatula. Pour filling into crust. Bake until finally a golden brown crust varieties on top rated in addition to a toothpick inserted will come out clear, about 45 minutes.

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Anticipate An Autumn Of concern: Both of those Get-togethers On Offense In Bruising Midterm Campaigns

Enlarge this imagePresident Trump speaks a rally Tuesday in Charleston, W.Virginia.Spencer Platt/Getty Imageshide captiontoggle captionSpencer Platt/Getty ImagesPresident Trump speaks a rally Tuesday in Charleston, W.Virginia.Spencer Platt/Getty ImagesThe Trump period has currently generated several moments of unprecedented strangene s, but probably none to match his triumphal check out to West Virginia just hrs immediately after two of his crucial a sociates have been discovered responsible or pleaded guilty with a whole 16 federal counts in two independent proceedings in two courts. As President Trump enthralled a rally crowd for additional than an hour or so on Fox News Tuesday night, a click to a different channel revealed countle s tape loops of Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen leaving courthouses.Politics Per day Just after Cohen Guilty Plea, Trump Contradicts His Former Particular Law firm As being the globe now is aware of, previous marketing campaign chairman Paul Manafort was convicted on eight counts of tax and financial institution fraud by a federal jury in Virginia. Still, difficult as it would be to consider, that was not the worst tale for that president within the information on Tuesday.Politics Responsible: six Takeaways From Manafort’s And Cohen’s Huge Day Inside the same hour, within a federal courtroom in New york city, Michael Cohen, Trump’s longtime individual legal profe sional and fixer, pleaded guilty to eight counts that incorporated campaign finance violations among the other crimes. Cohen also explained to the court some of his actions had been taken at the route of then-candidate Trump in 2016. Politics Republican Rep. Duncan Hunter Indicted On Rates Of Misusing Campaign MoneyAnd, as if to round out the working day, a federal grand jury in San Diego indicted a veteran congre sman and his wife for misuse of $250,000 in campaign money. That congre sman, Duncan Hunter Jr., had been the 2nd https://www.cavaliersedge.com/Rodney-Hood-Jersey Home Republican to back Trump for president. The very first, Chris Collins, was indicted in Big apple earlier this thirty day period for insider buying and selling.Law Michael Cohen’s Lawyer Says His Customer Would Never ever Accept Pardon From ‘Corrupt’ Trump As being the primary midterm elections in new memory consider shape more than the subsequent eleven months, Democrats will operate this drop from the corruption allegedly rampant inside the ruling party what their Home leader Nancy Pelosi has known as “brazen corruption, cronyism and incompetence.” That worked very well for them the final time they displaced Republican majorities in Congre s, in 2006, once the GOP was burdened with lobbying scandals in addition to a whiff of sexual misconduct involving a House member and underage congre sional pages.Politics Democrats Seize On GOP Ethics Scandals In Midterms, For the reason that It truly is Labored In advance of But if the Democrats intend to operate from Manafort, Cohen, Collins and Hunter, the Republicans are only as identified to run towards Cristhian Behana Rivera. That is the identify of your undocumented immigrant arrested within the murder of 20-year-old Mollie Tibbetts, a scholar at the University of Iowa. Rivera’s immigration is in dispute with regulation enforcement authorities plus the Trump administration contending he is undocumented and his law firm expre sing in court files that he’s doing the job during the point out lawfully, as outlined by the Des Moines Sign up. How critical may be the Tibbetts story on the Republican playbook? Firstly, it had been the guide tale on Fox Information on Tuesday evening described forward of your Manafort and Cohen developments. Trump highlighted the Tibbetts story when he discu sed illegal immigration in West Virginia Tuesday evening. He made use of it to characterize the platform with the Democrats. The group chanted “Build that wall!”National Guy Billed Immediately after Main Investigators To Human body Believed To get Mi sing Iowa Female And when White Residence pre s secretary Sarah Sanders arrived for the lectern on Wednesday she squandered tiny time getting to the Tibbetts scenario, to sing in a very biblical reference to include gravity. Along with the Trump Coach twitter account sent out an image of Tibbetts labeled: “Thanks towards the Democrats.” So as the summer winds down plus the fall strategies gear up, it appears the two get-togethers program a strategy of criminalizing the opposition and contacting about the trustworthy to cleanse the nation’s capital. 1 reason both equally get-togethers acce s so conveniently for accusations of criminality may perhaps be that neither social gathering is self-confident enough during the relaxation of its arsenal. Republicans had considered they could acquire this year to the tax cuts they handed very last winter season. Individuals deep cuts have been purported to gas the economic system and make “the overlooked male and the forgotten woman” see serious gains in disposable profits. But polling details propose the cuts, whilst certainly are a gold mine for a lot of high-income cla ses, have not manufactured as much variation for average workers. Or, no le s than, they have got not nonethele s confident lots of those people workers that they are doing that much better. The president and his occasion experienced also imagined and carry on to keep up the overall robustne s of the economic system must rub off on Republican candidates. Certainly, the current quantities traditionally large expansion and low unemployment are typical political property. Though the dilemma is apparently that, once again, the uneven distribution in the added benefits continues to be a political hurdle. Individuals benefiting most within the record highs in financial markets are those who weren’t hurting from the to start with spot. Where by jobs are actually returning and/or wages soaring, Republicans have a very case to create. But in all those sites wherever work opportunities are still scarce and genuine income continues to be far below the levels of a technology in the past, the political payoff may be constrained. A 3rd disappointment during this regard will be the emergent effect of tariffs on sectors from the economy. Some farmers are losing international sales, when users of metal and aluminum are feeling the pinch of higher expenditures because of to increased obligations imposed on their own uncooked materials. The agony may confirm worthwhile in the extended run, though the midterms are in around 11 weeks. Meanwhile, the mix of decrease tax revenues (primarily from company taxes) and higher federal expending has pushed the yearly finances deficit back again on the trillion-dollar-a-year stage briefly touched within https://www.cavaliersedge.com/Collin-Sexton-Jersey the depths from the new “Great Rece sion.” So, po sibly we should always not be fully astonished which the sturdy economic system has fallen shorter of staying a magic wand in political phrases. Enlarge this imageHouse Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., speaks with reporters all through her weekly pre s conference with the Capitol on July twelve, 2018, in Washington, D.C.Alex Edelman/Getty Imageshide captiontoggle captionAlex Edelman/Getty ImagesHouse Minority Chief Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., speaks with reporters all through her weekly push convention at the Capitol on July twelve, 2018, in Washington, D.C.Alex Edelman/Getty ImagesDemocrats for their portion experienced expected the same old outcomes of midterm swing to carry them back again to electrical power this November. Immediately after all, considering that Environment War II, every single U.S. president but one has witne sed his celebration shed Home seats in his first midterm election (the exception was George W. Bush in 2002, right after the 9/11 terrorist a saults). Barack Obama shed more than 60 in his initially midterm. The standard Dwelling seat lo s for all presidents in midterms because polling began is 36 when presidential approval is below fifty per cent. The Gallup Poll carried out last 7 days experienced Trump at forty two per cent. And Republicans have observed greater than 40 of their incumbents retire or run for other workplaces this 12 months, including Speaker Paul Ryan as well as the chairs of 8 committees.Politics Trump Predicts ‘Red Wave,’ But Specific Elections Present Democrats Poised For giant Gains But since it turns out, people historic pointers like countle s other norms these days may well be much le s applicable in the Trump period. For something, the same old arc with the partisan pendulum could po sibly be altered through the party-friendly district maps drawn by Republican legislatures and governors earlier while in the 10 years. Each events have generally use gerrymandered districts to safeguard incumbents and push their Election Working day benefit. But computers and sophisticated program have designed that approach significantly additional effective and effective. In addition, the voters who end up in midterms (also as in presidential years) are typically older, male, a lot more affluent and le s diverse. That matches the profile of voters who usually favor Republican candidates (and who approve from the president). Regardle s of what these voters may think of Trump individually, they’ll vote to protect him and his program simply because they feel they are really safeguarding them selves. That means what ever momentum Democrats think they’ve got, they will be fulfilled by voters who may po sibly be similarly decided. The minority occasion will require to make not merely a hearth but a significant conflagration under its own voters to generate the outcome they want.Politics Republicans Force Democrats To Go On History Over Immigration AgencyIt should also be stated that although Congre s isn’t common (approval ranking at 12 p.c in a very current monitoring poll https://www.cavaliersedge.com/Brandon-Knight-Jersey by YouGov as well as the Economist journal) its complications will not be witne sed as solely Republican. And also the greater part celebration is just as eager since the minority to go ahead and take struggle towards the opposition on immigration and abortion as well as other problems with higher psychological influence. So while Democrats considered the GOP will be hunkered down to get a pounding this year, the Republican sense of actuality is very distinctive. Maybe this as well shouldn’t be stunning. The divisions in the united states, promoted by partisan cable information and social networking, have rarely appeared so obvious and visceral. Plus they are the many tougher to addre s when embodied by only one political individuality who seems to prosper on them.

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‘Petya’ Ransomware Hits No less than sixty five International locations; Microsoft Traces It To Tax Program

Enlarge this imageEmployees in a shop in Kiev, Ukraine, browse a ransomware need for $300 in bitcoin to totally free files encrypted by the Petya program virus. The malicious application has spread to dozens of nations.Vincent Mundy/Bloomberg through Getty Imageshide captiontoggle captionVincent Mundy/Bloomberg by using Getty ImagesEmployees at a retail outlet in Kiev, Ukraine, study a ransomware demand for $300 in bitcoin to no cost files encrypted by the Petya software package virus. The destructive method has spread to dozens of nations.Vincent Mundy/Bloomberg by way of Getty ImagesThe “Petya” cyberattack that has now struck computers in a minimum of sixty five international locations Jaren Jackson Jr. Jersey is usually traced into a Ukrainian company’s tax accounting software, Microsoft claims. “We saw the very first infections in Ukraine far more than twelve,500 machines encountered the danger,” Microsoft says. “We then noticed bacterial infections in a further sixty four international locations, like Belgium, Brazil, Germany, Ru sia, as well as Usa.” The complexity of your attack has fueled debate over whether the malware is really a new danger or simply a extra complex edition on the Petya malware which was used in an attack last spring. But Microsoft says the ransomware is “a new variant” of Petya, including that it has i sued new stability updates to safeguard computer systems operating its Home windows software package. Other anti-virus companies have also up to date their application, in an try to restrict the damage. The first infection might be traced to tax accounting software program from the Ukrainian organization termed M.E.Doc, Microsoft suggests. That connection was the topic of speculation Tuesday, but Microsoft now suggests it “has proof that a handful of energetic infections in the ransomware at first begun from your reputable MEDoc updater approach.”Petya is still influencing airports and ATMs in Ukraine and hampering global enterprises within the transport huge Maersk to your drug busine s Merck. Its victims also incorporate hospitals in Pennsylvania’s Heritage Valley Wellne s System. Let’s not be intense. This isn’t a generic Killswitch like @MalwareTechBlog identified, it is a brief workaround Amit Serper (@0xAmit) June 27, 2017 The malware is staying in comparison with the WannaCry outbreak that struck computers in additional than a hundred and fifty nations very last thirty day period but to date, no le s than, Petya appears to be spreading much more gradually. Like WannaCry, the Petya ransomware demands a $300 bitcoin payment to retrieve encrypted documents and tough drives. As of Wednesday early morning Japanese time, the account had obtained all over $10,000. But inside a shift that has prompted some controversy, German electronic mail organization Posteo blocked the e-mail tackle the Petya hackers have been using to confirm ransom payments. While some cybersecurity authorities have praised the technique, some others notice that end users whose files are held hostage have now lost their sole Shelvin Mack Jersey stage of get in touch with. WannaCry was mainly undone from the discovery of the “kill switch” that could shut it down. No this sort of destroy change has actually been identified thus far with Petya, and profe sionals are still doing work to locate a approach to prevent it. But protection researcher Amit Serper of Boston’s Cybereason has discovered a method that effectively functions as a vaccine for personal computers contaminated by the malware. His system methods the ransomware into believing that it is really now working with a equipment. Serper is currently being extensively praised for that innovation but he states the take care of is “a short term workaround.” Security specialists are also divided on what to connect with the ransomeware. Some analysts have dubbed the malware “NotPetya,” to mirror the variances within the primary. Many others contact it “Goldeneye” the title of another recent strain in the Petya ransomware. Polish researcher Hasherezade states that mainly because main features of your malware’s code even now resemble the first, “it is truthful to connect with it a whole new stage while in the evolution of Petya.” WannaCry was based on exploits stolen from the National Stability Company which include a system termed EternalBlue, which exploited a Microsoft vulnerability. Working with some of the same exploits, Petya has the ability to worm via computer networks, accumulating pa swords and qualifications and spreading by itself. After a self-imposed hold off of a minimum of ten minutes, the malware employs a reboot to encrypt files. At that time, buyers see a phony black-and-white “CHKDSK” information on their own display that statements an mistake has transpired which the system is examining the integrity of your disk. This can be the previous prospect, safety gurus say, for users to electricity down their computer systems and defend their documents ahead of they are encrypted and held for ransom. The WannaCry outbreak prompted lots of network administrators to update their safety patches. But as being the story of the IT worker in Scotland reveals, Petya can even now sometimes discover a way into all those devices, by accumulating pa swords and credentials from an unpatched computer and employing them to log into patched machines. “We were fairly patched up versus [Microsoft’s EternalBlue stability patch] MS17-010, of course mustn’t are already one hundred per cent,” Colin Scott wrote, “but even then, if one particular single Laptop gets infected plus the virus has acce s to Domain Admin credentials then you’re accomplished by now.” On his web site, Scott isn’t going to discover his employer, but Jonas Valanciunas Jersey he suggests: “So far we’ve dropped a lot of servers and customers, while you can picture it is carnage.”

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Un film ca-n desene animate – The Grand Budapest Hotel

  Stiti desenele alea animate mai vechi care erau funny pentru ca erau funny si chiar radeati la ele? Daca va plac filmele in stil Louis de  Funes sau Pantera roz, va recomand cu mare caldura sa vedeti The Grand Budapest Hotel. O comedie buna cu un complot simplu si actiune complicata, cu o sumedenie […]

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